The Effects of
Climate Change on Animal Species
Abstract
The
current global warming trend is causing physical and biological changes to occur
throughout the
entire planet and is impacting regional climates, ecosystems, and the organisms
that inhabit them in a number of ways. Animal species can only survive within specific ranges of climatic
and environmental factors, if conditions change beyond the tolerance of species,
or to rapidly for evolutionary adaptations,
then animals may exhibit ecological responses to these
changes. The threat of extinction to species who are unable to adapt or have
limited habitat is expected to increase with climatic changes, and the
extinction of some species has already been directly linked to climate change.
Changes is animals phenology, such as migration, breeding and spring appearance,
has occurred throughout the world and is linked to seasonal variability. Changes
in the spatial distribution of animals, particularly poleward and elevational
shifts, is occurring as suitable habitat disappears or extends beyond its
current range. Arctic and marine ecosystems are undergoing physical
environmental changes that are effecting the species that inhabit them.
Temperature change and melting sea ice in the arctic is adversely affecting the
species of the region, and sea level rise, increased sea temperature and higher
pH are among the issues changing the planets marine ecosystems. Spread of pests
and disease are occurring as a result of milder temperatures. All of these
changes threaten the planets ecological biodiversity and changes projected for
the environment will increasingly affect all life on Earth.
Climate Change
Climate
Change is occurring as a result of the greenhouse effect, which is the amount of
solar radiation that is trapped in Earth's atmosphere, and which regulates the
temperature of Earth. Anthropogenic greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide
and methane, are causing an increase in the amount of solar radiation
that gets reflected back to Earth. The
atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased since the
pre-industrial era due to human activities, primarily the combustion of fossil
fuels and land use change (IPCC, 2002). In response, changes in
the Earth's climate over the 20th century have accelerated beyond normal
environmental conditions. Some of the
changes include an increase in land and ocean
temperatures (Figure 1, 2), changes in spatial and temporal precipitation patterns, sea level
rise, reduction of sea ice, changes in vegetation, seasonal changes, and increases in the frequency and intensity of weather events
(IPCC,
2002).
Ecosystems
and Biodiversity
Animal responses vary greatly between species, but
climatic changes lead to disruption of biotic interactions,
such as predator/prey interactions, and changes to ecosystem composition and
functioning (IPCC, 2007c). Habitat fragmentation and
loss, competition from invasive species, natural disturbances, pollution and
other human induced issues have already been stressing animal populations and
are expected to increase and compound with climate change factors (Kirby,
2004). The
projected increase in temperatures over the next centuries is expected to lead
to mass extinctions and have
drastic, irreversible effects on biodiversity and ecosystems (IPCC,
2007a). Climate change can affect individual organisms, populations, species
distributions, and ecosystem function and composition both directly and
indirectly (IPCC, 2002).While the long term impacts and
existing trends still need more research,
and may not always link directly to climate change, climatic changes are
affecting all of the physical and biological systems on the planet (IPCC,
2007a).
Biodiversity is short for biological diversity, the term biodiversity
describes the richness and complexity of life on Earth. Biodiversity refers to
both the number of living species and the number of different genes in those
species' gene pools (Sierra Club, 2008).
The composition of most
ecosystems is likely to change as species migrate at different rates and are
affected differently by climatic changes, and by changes in vegetation and
ground cover (Figure 3) (IPCC, 2002).
Species
are unlikely to shift together, creating imbalanced ecosystems and
allowing new, invasive species to move in (IPCC, 2002). A
loss of biodiversity has been, or is projected to occur as a result of climatic factors (IPCC, 2002).
For every degree Celsius increase that the globe undergoes, the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has two scenarios that project
a variety of large scale changes to ecosystems over the next centuries (Figure 4),
(IPCC, 2002).
 |
Figure 4. Projected
risks due to temperature increase
over the next 300 years (IPCC, 2007) |
Extinction
Animals are going extinct due to a variety of human caused disturbances,
including climate change. At the current rate of extinction, Earth will have
lost 25% of its present number of species by 2050 (Sierra
Club, 2008). Species with limited
climatic ranges and/or small populations are the most vulnerable to extinction (IPCC, 2002).
Endemic mountain species, and animals restricted to islands, peninsulas, or
coastal areas are at greatest risk (IPCC, 2002).
-
Around
20% of bird species, or 1,800 species, are at risk of extinction due to climatic
factors, with 5% already on the brink of extinction (IPCC,
2007a).
-
A study looking at
six
regions of the world, representing 20% of Earth's land area, used computer
simulations to show how the ranges of 1,103 species are expected to shift as a
result of changing climate and temperature. The study concluded that 15 to 37%
of all species in the regions could be driven to extinction by the climate
changes between now and 2050, with 18% expected to disappear given the minimum
expected climate change scenario (Kirby, 2004).
Amphibians are particularly affected by climate change and are going extinct as
a result of climate change induced disease, warming temperatures and dryer air (Pounds
et al., 2005).
An estimated 67% of the 110 species of Atelopus, which are endemic to the
American tropics, have gone extinct as a result of a pathogenic chytrid fungus
(Batrachochytrium
dendrobatidis) (Pounds
et al., 2005).
Warming temperatures are shifting the optimum growth conditions for the
fungus into the amphibians habitat, and is responsible for the extinction of these species (Pounds
et al., 2005).
The Global Amphibian Assessment lists 427 species as critically endangered.
The golden toad (Bufo periglenes), (Figure
5) and the Monteverde
harlequin frog (Atelopus various) disappeared as a result of decreased
mist frequency during warmer years in the mountainous Monteverde cloud
forest of Costa Rica. They were the first amphibians to have their disappearance
linked to climate change (Pounds et al., 2005).
Phenology
Phenology is the timing of biological events or seasonal activities in animals and plants. Changes in
the timing of spring activities include earlier breeding or first singing of
birds, earlier arrival of migrant birds, earlier appearance of butterflies, and
earlier choruses and spawning in amphibians (Walther et al.,
2002). Numerous studies and analysis' have documented a progressively
earlier spring by about 2.3 to 5.2 days/decade over the past 30 years, in
response to warming
(IPCC, 2007c).
Changes in the timing of spring events, particularly migration and breeding, has been observed in many plant and
animal species around Earth.
Migration
Many migratory bird species have altered their wintering (Figure
6) and stopover habitats.
This affects when birds breed and lay their eggs (EPA,
2009). Changes in
the return dates of migratory birds is associated with changes in temperature in bird
wintering or breeding grounds, or along migration routes (IPCC,
2007c), and has been studied around the world:
-
Spring migration of bird species in North America and Europe over the last 30-60
years has advanced by 1.3 to 4.4 days/decade
(IPCC, 2007c).
-
Earlier arrival of nine bird species in Australia has been
documented between 1970-1999
(IPCC, 2007c).
-
Warmer springs have led to 28
migrating bird species nesting earlier on the east coast of the U.S. (EPA,
2009).
-
Earlier
arrival and later departure of migrating insects and birds has been observed in
the United States and Europe (IPCC, 2007c).
-
Overall changes in migratory patterns have
occurred in Africa and Australia (IPCC, 2002).
Birds are further affected by climate change; of the bird species listed by the Convention on the
Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals, 42% of them are
threatened because of
changes in water regime (Amodeo, 2005).
Breeding
Breeding
is instinctual in animals, and correlates with the seasons, changes in breeding
has been researched in a variety of animals in recent years:
-
Butterfly emergence in the United
Kingdom between 1976-1998 has advanced by 2.8-3.2 days/decade
(IPCC, 2007c).
-
Warmer conditions in
the spring and fall have affected the timing of emergence, growth, and
reproduction of some invertebrate species (IPCC, 2002).
-
Between 1978 and
1984, two frog species in the United Kingdom started breeding 2-3 weeks
earlier, which was correlated with rising temperatures over the same
period (IPCC, 2002).
-
Earlier breeding and
egg laying has occurred over the past 23 years in Europe, North America,
and Latin America. In advance in egg laying by 8 days has been observed
in 20 of 65 observed species in the UK (IPCC, 2002).
-
The timing of
breeding in some bird species, such as the Great Tit (Parus major)
has been mismatched with other species, including their food source.
This may lead to scarcity of food when birds hatch (IPCC, 2002).
Spatial
Distribution
Many animal species have responded to regional warming and changes in
vegetation by increasing their normal range,
and exhibiting poleward and elevational shifts as their current habitat becomes
unsuitable (IPCC, 2007b).
Poleward and elevational shifts associated with regional warming have been
documented in the ranges of North American, British, and European butterfly, birds and insect
species (IPPC, 2007b).
Examples of spatial distribution include:
-
In England, 329 species
across 16 taxa have moved northward an average of 30-60 km, or up in
elevation an average of 25 meters over the past 25 years (IPCC,
2007a).
-
Of three butterfly species in England, two species range has moved on
average 80 km north, and one has moved 149 meters up between 1970-2004 (IPCC,
2007a).
-
Edith's Checkerspot
butterflies have moved up in altitude and have become extinct in the southern
portion of their range
(EPA,
2009).
the arctic ecosystem
In the arctic, climate change impacts are being seen earlier and more
dramatically then anywhere else in the world
(WWF(a), n/d).
The arctic has warmed at about twice the rate as the rest of the planet
(WWF(a), n/d).
Decreasing sea ice extent has been documented over the past 30-40 years
(Figure 7), and coincides with warming temperatures (Tynan
and DeMaster, 1997).
Since the
1950s, Arctic sea-ice extent has declined by about 10-15%; in recent
decades, there has been about a 40% decline in Arctic sea-ice thickness
during late summer to early autumn, which is projected to continue at
increasing rates over the next century (Figure 8), (IPCC, 2007b).
 |
Figure 8. Projected Arctic Conditions
(IPCC,
2007a) |
Arctic Species at Risk
The effects of climate change near the poles can be observed in a
variety of ways and affects both marine and terrestrial animals.
Changes in the extent and concentration of sea ice may alter the
seasonal distributions, geographic ranges, patterns of migration,
nutritional status, reproductive success, and ultimately the abundance
and stock structure of some arctic species
(Tynan and DeMaster, 1997).
Entire Arctic and Antarctic ecosystems depend on sea ice to survive.
These physical processes, which affect arctic ecosystems result in shifts
in range and abundance, physical fitness, and survival of many species (Ferguson,
2005). Reductions in
winter sea-ice will affect the reproduction, growth and development of
fish, krill, and their predators, including seals and seal-dependent
polar bears, and leading to further changes in abundance and distribution of
marine species (IPCC, 2007 a).
As these changes rapidly occur, it is more difficult for many
species to survive
(WWF(a), n/d).
Examples of arctic species at risk:
Polar Bear (Ursus maritimus):
The status of Polar Bear subpopulations are declining in some areas as sea ice
around the arctic melts (Figure 9). Polar
bears rely on sea ice to access their food, primarily seals, and to move from
hunting grounds to their denning or summer resting areas
(WWF(b), n/d).
Less food is available as seal populations decline or migrate. Polar bear subpopulations found at the southern range of their
habitat are particularly threatened. The Hudson Bay and James Bay of Canada, and
the Southern Beaufort subpopulations have declined in recent years
(WWF(b), n/d).
There has been an observed drop in body condition and an increase
in cub mortality, as polar bears have less time on the ice to store the energy
they need to survive through the summer
(WWF(b), n/d).
The main cause of death for cubs in the Hudson Bay is either lack of food, or
lack of fat on nursing mothers
(WWF(b), n/d). The US recently added the
Polar bear to the endangered species list, and it is listed as threatened on the IUCN red list. If current warming trends continue unabated, scientists believe
that polar bears will be vulnerable to extinction within the next century
(WWF(b), n/d).
|
Caribou
(Rangifer
tarandus):
Caribou numbers in northern Canada have dropped significantly in recent
years. Experts suspect climate change contributes to the decline because
increased warm spells during the winter thaw the snow cover, which refreezes
to create an ice cover over vegetation (WWF,
n/d). Tundra vegetation zones are moving north due to warming conditions,
making it harder for caribou to find food and raise young (EPA,
2009). |
Ringed Seal
(Phoca
hispida):
Seals are affected by the absence of summer sea ice because they give birth
and nurse there young on sea ice (EPA,
2009). The Saimaa ringed seal population found in Lake Saimaa in Finland, is
the most endangered seal species in the world with only 250 individuals left
(WWF(a), n/d).
These seals build their dens out of snow, and decreasing snowfall has made
it more difficult for them to build dens(WWF(a), n/d).
Variable winter weather can also lead to melting
and collapsing dens,
which can kill the young and make them vulnerable to predators if they
survive
(WWF(a), n/d). |
Marine Ecosystems
Sea level rise, higher
sea surface temperatures,
lower salinities, contraction of seasonal sea ice extent, lower pH, and ocean
freshening are impacting marine species
(Ferguson, 2005).
Sea level rise (Figure
10) has been documented over the last 100 years,
and is projected to rise over the next century
(IPCC, 2007).
Sea surface warming has led to phenological, biogeographical, physiological,
and species abundance changes in marine ecosystems (IPCC,
2007a). Shifts
of marine organisms due to oceanic warming have been observed in the intertidal communities
of the Pacific and British Isles, fish communities in southern California, and a
major ecosystem shift in the Bering sea
(IPCC,
2007a). Warming in the southern ocean has caused a decline in Krill, which
has led to a reduction in population size of many seals, seabirds
and other animals whose food source it is (IPCC,
2007a). Changes in the geographical range or extended ranges have been
observed in fish on the European continental shelf, as a result of warmer
temperatures
(IPCC,
2007a).Ocean
chlorophyll records show that the global ocean annual primary production has
decreased by more than 6% since the 1980's (IPCC,
2007a).
Ocean freshening occurs as a result of melting glaciers, and has been observed
in the North Atlantic and the Ross Sea. Ocean freshening has caused some fish
species to move south, because of a shift in plankton (IPCC,
2007a). Ocean uptake of carbon
dioxide, due to
increased atmospheric levels,
reduces surface ocean pH (Figure 11) and carbonate ion concentrations. This causes
aragonite, which is used by many organisms to make their shells or skeletons to
decline or become under-saturated (IPCC, 2007a).
Coral Reefs: Corals are affected by the warming of surface waters, which causes
bleaching to occur. Coral bleaching is whitening caused by the death or
expulsion of symbiotic, algae-like protozoa, zooxanthellae from the coral, which
is a result of
stress to the coral (IPCC, 2007a).
There are key temperature thresholds for mass bleaching to occur. It is
projected that annual or bi-annual exceedance of bleaching thresholds will occur
at the majority of reefs worldwide by 2030 to 2050 (IPCC,
2007a). In 1998 the largest bleaching event
to date occurred, killing 16% of the worlds corals, and leading to shifts in
reef fish species composition
(IPCC, 2007c).
Corals are also affected by
increased atmospheric CO² concentrations,
which results in declining calcification (IPCC,
2007a). Corals are also physically damaged
through wave action and light attenuation by storms, such as hurricanes,
tropical storms, and tsunamis
(IPCC, 2007c).
Climate change is increasing the intensity and frequency of storm, posing
further threat to reefs
(IPCC, 2007c).
Corals could become rare on tropical and
subtropical reefs by 2050 due to the combined effects of increasing CO2 and
increasing frequency of bleaching events (IPCC,
2007a). Coral reefs are habitat for
about a quarter of marine species and are the most diverse marine ecosystems (IPCC,
2007a). |
Sea turtles:
Sea turtles are affected by climate change in two ways. Sea turtles physical
nests are affected by rising sea levels. They lay their eggs on beaches, such as Brazilian beaches which are threatened by rising
sea levels.
A third of turtle nesting sites
in the Caribbean are threatened by rising sea levels. (Amodeo, 2005).
Another issue is the
reproductive success of sea turtles.
According to a report from the Climate Change and Migratory Species study,
sea turtles are under threat because the temperature at which there eggs are
incubated determines their sex, with warmer
sites producing female offspring (Amodeo, 2005). A
nest-warming trend is reducing the number of male offspring, which threatens
turtle populations (WWF (c), n/d). |
Penguins:
Penguins are at risk as the Antarctic Peninsula is warming faster than anywhere else in the Southern
Hemisphere. The loss of sea ice in harming Emperor Penguins who rear their
chicks on land locked sea ice. When the sea ice breaks up before the chicks have
matured and grown their waterproof feathers, chicks are likely to be swept into
the ocean and drown. Loss of sea ice also leads to lower food availability,
which raises mortality rates
(WWF (c), n/d). The Emperor penguin colony at Terra Adelie in Antarctica could
decline by 95% before the end of the century, if sea-ice continues to decline at
the current rate. This would place the population at serious risk of extinction
(WWF (c), n/d). |
North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis):
The right whale is one of the most endangered whales, and is further threatened
by warming sea temperatures. The availability of food is a problem because
warmer waters contain less plankton which is the whale’s main food source. Only
300-350 individuals still exist (WWF (c), n/d). |
Insects and
Disease
Pest and diseases have spread to higher altitudes and latitudes due to warmer
temperatures and milder winters
(IPPC, 2007b).
Many diseases are expected to become more lethal or spread more rapidly as the
climate warms (Pounds
et al., 2005).
-
Spruce Budworms are the most destructive pests to coniferous trees in the
western U.S. Recent warming in Alaska has caused the Spruce Budworm to reproduce
farther north, causing increased destruction
(EPA,
2009).
-
Since 1990, bark beetles have killed millions of trees across millions of
hectares of land from Alaska to southern California. Climate change is one
factor that appears to be driving increased outbreaks of bark beetles.
Temperature influences the number of eggs a bark beetle lays, its ability to
disperse, it ability to survive overwinter and developmental timing
(Bentz,
2008). Consecutive
years of higher temperatures as a result of climate change can speed up
reproductive cycles and reduce mortality from cold temperatures. Shifts in
precipitation patterns, which are causing droughts in some areas, are causing
trees to become weakened and as a result more susceptible to beetle attacks (Bentz,
2008).
Get Involved
There is overwhelming evidence that humans are
responsible for the climatic changes that have been observed in Earth's
environment and are projected to increase with the continued output of
greenhouse gas emissions. It is our responsibility to take action against
climate change in order to protect and preserve the animals with which we
inhabit this planet, and, ourselves. Reducing our consumption and fossil fuel
use is critical if we hope to make a difference before it is too late. Here are
a few ways to get involved:
-
Write a letter to your senator to demand that measures be taken
to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and slow climate change. Click
here to send a letter urging the local and federal
government to take action to reduce climate change. Go to
http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm
to find the senator for your state or write the US senate at:
Office of Senator
(Name)
United States Senate
Washington, D.C. 20510 |
|
-
Click here to send a
letter to CEO Alan Mulally from the Ford Motor Company to demand that the
company stop producing gas-guzzling SUVs, minivans and trucks.
Ford Motor Company
Customer Relationship Center
P.O. Box 6248
Dearborn, MI 48126
(800-232-5952)
President Obama's Policy
"So we have a choice to make. We can
remain one of the world's leading importers of foreign oil, or we
can make the investments that would allow us to become the world's
leading exporter of renewable energy. We can let climate change
continue to go unchecked, or we can help stop it. We can let the
jobs of tomorrow be created abroad, or we can create those jobs
right here in America and lay the foundation for lasting
prosperity."
President Obama, March 19, 2009
|
The progress that the Obama
Administration has made toward climate change include:
-
The
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act included more
than $80 billion in clean energy investments that will
jump-start our economy and build the clean energy jobs
of tomorrow.
-
Increasing the fuel economy
standards for model year 2011 cars and trucks so they
will get better mileage, saving drivers money and
spurring companies to develop more innovative products
-
The President issued a
memorandum to the Department of Energy to implement
more aggressive efficiency standards for common
household appliances, like dishwashers and
refrigerators.
-
On Earth Day 2009,
the President unveiled a program to develop the
renewable energy projects on the waters of our Outer
Continental Shelf that produce electricity from wind,
wave, and ocean currents.
-
Closing the carbon loophole:
by stemming carbon pollution through a
market-based cap, we can address in a systematic way all
the energy challenges that we face: curbing our
dependence on foreign oil, reducing our use of fossil
fuels, and promoting new industries right here in
America (White House, 2010).
The Obama administration has created an
Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force, which
is working on the issue. The key components to a
national strategy on climate change adaptation include:
integration of science into adaptation decisions and
policy; communications and capacity building;
coordination and collaboration; prioritization; a
flexible framework for Agencies; and evaluation. There
is a progress report of the task force
released on March 16, 2010 (White
House, 2010).
Conclusion
The issues facing the animal
kingdom are broad and complex. The link between climate change and observed
impacts on species can be difficult to substantiate given all the contributing
factors that can possibly affect changes in animal behavior, distribution, and
health. While more evidence is needed, there is a strong correlation between the
observed physical changes to the environment and responses from animals. The
countless studies and observations of animal species across the globe show us
how animals are being affected, and expert predictions for the future are grim
without a halt to the current climatic trends.
Useful Links
Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC)
www.ipcc.ch
World Wildlife Fund (WWF) http://wwf.panda.org/
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