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Abstract
In the Middle East, the Tigris and Euphrates rivers combined
provide the area with good quantity of water. These rivers flow through
the countries of Iraq, Syria, and Turkey and provide the essential
element for agriculture and economics. The population growth rate varies from 3.1% in Iraq and 2.1% in Turkey and adds a great pressure on the water resource. Due to the lack of
industry, 80% of the water in this region is being used for agricultural use. Desalination has helped provide water to areas where water is dwindled due to the construction of dams in Turkey.
Introduction
The increasing importance of water in geopolitical affairs
is escalating the potential for conflict over water resources
among nations. It is estimated that there are presently at least ten
places in the world where war could erupt over dwindling water
resources. Unfortunately the majority of these sites are in the
vulnerable Middle East. The Euphrates and Tigris rivers are shared
among different countries and with the depletion of water in the
Middle East more conflicts have arisen.
Projects are being developed to exploit the water resources in the
area (Topkaya 1998). Projects like
Guneydogu Anadolu Projesi (GAP), also referred to as the Southeast
Anatolia Development Project, will create irrigation and hydropower
and will use a lot of water (Lowi 1995). The
total amount of water that is planned to be used by Turkey, Syria and
Iraq exceeds the total flow capacity of the rivers (Topkaya
1998).
Hydrological Background
The Euphrates River, the longest river in Southwestern Asia, starts
in the mountains of Eastern Turkey and empties into the Persian Gulf.
The Euphrates River is 1,700 miles long and drains an area of 171,000
sq. miles. Turkey provides 52% and 89% of all water entering the Tigris
and Euphrates Rivers respectively (Figure 1). The Tigris River also has its springs
in the mountains of Eastern Turkey, but the other main contribution
of water to the river comes from northern Iraq (Topkaya
1998).
The Euphrates and Tigris rivers run parallel to each other and
shortly after they enter Iraq they are never one hundred miles apart.
The months of April and May are the times when the heaviest flows
occur (Cohen 2000). The Euphrates river is
formed in Turkey by two major tributaries: the Murat and the Karasu
(Figure 2). These two streams form together to start the Euphrates
river and the Keban Dam Lake (Topkaya
1998).
Baghdad, the capital city of Iraq, is located on the intersection of
the Tigris and Diyala rivers. During the months of April and May
parts of southern Iraq are often flooded, levees often collapse and
roads are often built up on high embankments. The water flow of these
rivers fluctuates greatly from one season to the next (Figure 3). In
the summer months the average flow of the two rivers is approximately
200 cubic meters per second. In the springtime it reaches the level
of 5000 or cubic meters per second. This means too much water for
human consumption in the springtime and to little the rest of the
year (Topkaya 1998).
The biggest and most intensive project ever-implemented in Turkey
known as GAP. GAP
includes irrigation and hydropower schemes and the construction of 22
dams and 19 hydroelectric power plants along the Tigris and Euphrates
rivers (Figure 4). It is planned that 27 billion kilowatts of
electricity will be generated annually which accounts for 22% of the country's economical viable hydropower potential. Over 1.7 million hectares of land will
be irrigated which accounts for 19% of the economically irrigable area in
Turkey (Topkaya 1998).
When the GAP is completed, power plants and dams
built on the Euphrates and Tigris rivers, will together allow more
than 50 billion cubic meters of water to flow annually, (in Turkish
boundaries) and will regulate 28% of Turkey's total water potential.
Consumption of water by the country of Turkey varies between 40.8%,
22.2% and 34.5% from the Euphrates and Tigris rivers, respectively, as they are
considered as one basin (Figure 5) (Topkaya
1998).
The GAP project brings serious concerns to Iraq and Syria because of the dependence of water to irrigate its agricultural
fields. When the Ataturk dam was completed in 1990, the filling up of
the lake behind the dam caused a 75 percent drop in the downstream
water supply for an entire month (Swain
1998). The flow of the Euphrates to Syria could be reduced up to
40% and up to 80% in Iraq. This decrease in water volume will come
with deterioration in the water quality due to upstream
agricultural uses (Swain 1998). The April
1990 agreement between Iraq and Syria stated that where the
Euphrates leaves Syria into Iraq, that Iraq gets 58% and 42% to
Syria. With decreasing water flow from the Turkish side, Syria will
have to reduce its flow to Iraq, and to face the situation; they may
form an alliance against Turkey for the use of the Euphrates resources
(Swain 1998).
Population Problem
According to experts at the Arabian Center for Dry and Arid Land
Studies, the surface and ground water available in Arab lands is not
sufficient enough to meet the drinking needs of the population. The
shortage will affect environmental conditions in
the area, and will impede further economic growth. In the 1950's only
four countries had problems with water scarcity in the region. Now
the number is ten, with four more countries estimated to join the group by the
year 2000 (Al-Solh 1997). According to
government agencies in the Middle East, water is indicated as the
future source of conflict in the Middle East (Deconinck
2000). This dry area consists of one of the fastest growing
populations in the world, as some 97.5 million people are expected to
exceed 109.5 million by the year 2005 (Topkaya
1998). Every day the growing demand for food leads to more water
scarcity. A shortage of water could be compensated by the import of
'virtual water', which saves 1000 tons of water for every single ton
of grain imported (Deconinck 2000).
Virtual water is water embedded in commodities such as grain
(Allan 1998). More information will be
discussed about virtual water in the next section Agriculture
and Irrigation. The Worldwatch Institute (WWI) warns that a water
war will be fought on the food market when food production
cannot keep pace with population growth, which will cause the price
of grain to rise. The poorer countries of the region will have to
keep their population growth under control, which will pave the way they handle their water resources (Deconinck
2000).
Agriculture and
Irrigation
The geographical Middle East has a rich history of agricultural productivity. Soils and climatic patterns differ from fertile plains and hills to deserts. The land that is tillable depends on the seasonal rainwater, or if irrigated, the water from subsoil aquifers or surface sources. Most of the surface waters in the area lie in the northern and northeastern regions (Isaac 1992). As mentioned before, the water flow is much less during the summer months when food needs to be grown (Figure 6). Less than 10% of an individual's needs is devoted to drinking and domestic use. More than 90% is devoted to food production (Allan 1998). It requires about sixteen times the amount of water to produce a kilogram of meat, to produce a kilogram of wheat. This explains why most of the food that is grown in the Tigris-Euphrates basin is wheat (Allan 1998). Turkey gets less than 250 millimeters of rainfall per year; the minimum amount needed for rain-fed agriculture. In contrast Turkey gets more than half of the amount of rainfall that Syria and Iraq get. As for Iraq, almost two-thirds of the country is desert; thus agricultural productivity is highly dependent on the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers for irrigation water (Lowi 1995). Although Iraq has an advantage because of a complex irrigation network and an efficient system of drainage. The drainage was achieved by supplying irrigation water from the Euphrates in the west and the Nahrawan canal in the east. This permitted the Tigris, which is situated between the two, to function as a drain. This supported great cultivation of the land around the Tigris River, without serious decline to the land. The system of drainage is not as good as it was during the Sassanian period (A.D. 226-637) due to the construction of dams along the Euphrates River (Murakami 1995). | ![]() Figure 6. Tigris River in Iraq (Mostyn and Hourani 1988) |
In some of the more arid parts of the Middle East, where good quality
of water is extremely limited, desalination of seawater has been used
to solve some of the problems. The country of Kuwait was the first to
adopt seawater desalination in 1957 and linked electricity
generation to desalination. Today there are about 1,483 desalination
units operating in the Middle East. This accounts for 57.9% of all
desalting plants in the world. The dominant type of plant that is
used is the multi-stage flash (MSF) which accounts for 86.7% of all
plants being used (Murakami
1995). However, there has been a recent trend towards the use of
reverse osmosis (RO) in seawater desalination. RO has lower operation
and maintenance cost and the reduction of energy consumption compared
to the present MSF plants. The total costs of producing potable water from seawater by MSF plants are $4 per 1000 gallons. The costs of producing potable water by RO is 50 cents per 1000 gallons. To a thirsty person living in the Middle East, four dollars does not seem much, but these numbers seem dismaying to a farmer (Abelson 1991).
The RO unit is stored in two separate containers. The first, the
operation container, includes the membranes, high pressure pumps,
cartridge filter, flushing/cleaning tank, transfer pump, dosing
stations, control panel and a electric switchboard. The second
contains two dual-media filters, the feed pump, a backwash air
blower, and associated pipes and valves (Figure 7).
Iraq argues that for thousands of years rivers have given life to the inhabitants of Mesopotamia and it is an acquired right for the people of Iraq. In other words no upstream country has the right to take away water. Iraq has also accused Turkey for violating "International Law", by not informing Iraq and reducing the amount of flow, the committed level behind the Ataturk Dam (Zahawi 1990). On the contrary Turkey officials' claim that the dams so far constructed and the ones to be constructed by Turkey on the Euphrates and Tigris rivers, would not only contribute to its own energy and irrigation needs, but also serve regulated water to its downstream neighbors. Turkish dams on the Euphrates River have been found efficient, due to their effective reservoirs and their low evaporation losses (Kolars 1994). With a rapid growing population and a limited amount of water to grow food, this area has a water problem that needs to be fixed. The use of RO desalination units might be the best answer to the water resource problem in the Middle East.
Of the three countries Turkey, Syria and Iraq, Turkey has the
absolute advantage. In addition to being upstream, it also enjoys
military superiority. Given its status in the basin, it is
unrealistic to see Turkey to cooperate with Syria and Iraq and share
the water (Lowi 1995).
What can you do
Form letter about the GAP project in
Turkey
Form letter about replacing old desalination
units
Who to Contact
References
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